Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Chig Okonkwo

WAS

TE28 · overall #182 · tier 6 · age 27

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Projected points

69

6.2/gm

Value over replacement

-9

repl 112

Range

36–101

sd 33

Week

1.5

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
56
Carries
1
Receptions
40
Rec yards
386
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.8
Total TD
1.8
Games projected
11.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.9
Games of history
66
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
15
Effective contributors
1.93
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.11
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-1.03
Flip edge
+0.92
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.52

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

96.0

Per game

5.65

17-gm pace

96

Best / worst

13.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.4TE3143190
25.5TE2164350
39.1TE865660
40.9TE523140
56.8TE2154480
67.6TE2066460
70.0TE542000
87.3TE1354530
92.0TE4222100
117.1TE1133560
125.5TE1943400
134.9TE2554290
143.0TE2722200
155.3TE2264330
1613.4TE486441
1713.0TE673551
181.2TE505220