Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Charlie Woerner

ATL

TE134 · overall #566 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

23

1.5/gm

Value over replacement

-83

repl 112

Range

17–30

sd 6

Week

0.8

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
22
Carries
1
Receptions
16
Rec yards
134
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
0.3
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.2
Games of history
34
Age multiplier
0.956
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.7
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.05
OL pass protection
+0.17
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
29%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.35
Scheme creativity
-0.20
Play action / motion
17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
2
Effective contributors
1.15
Top player's share
93%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup
-0.19
Opponents after
SF,TB,CIN
After matchup
+0.59
Flip edge
-0.78
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.69

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

7

Points

4.8

Per game

0.69

17-gm pace

12

Best / worst

2.4 / -0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
3-0.5TE7111-50
70.0TE531000
101.4TE3811140
122.4TE2833240
151.2TE4622120
160.3TE611130
170.0TE590000