WR
CeeDee Lamb
DALWR8 · overall #27 · tier 3 · age 27
Projected points
186
12.8/gm
Value over replacement
82
repl 115
Range
122–250
sd 64
Week
12.2
@ NYG
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 127
- Carries
- 6
- Receptions
- 83
- Rec yards
- 1057
- Rush yards
- 32
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Rec TD
- 6.3
- Total TD
- 6.5
- Games projected
- 14.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 17.6
- Games of history
- 62
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.0
- Projected plays / game
- 64.0
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.16
- OL pass protection
- +0.01
- OL continuity
- 92%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.93
- Scheme creativity
- -0.34
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.92
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYG,WAS,BAL
- Window matchup
- +0.75
- Opponents after
- HOU,TB,GB
- After matchup
- -0.19
- Flip edge
- +0.93
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.36
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
125.9
Per game
9.68
17-gm pace
165
Best / worst
17.2 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11.0 | 13 | 7 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 11 | 9 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 17.0 | 8 | 5 | 110 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 7.6 | 10 | 7 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 9 | 8.5 | 12 | 7 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 12.6 | 7 | 5 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 7.5 | 11 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 17.2 | 9 | 7 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 12.1 | 8 | 6 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 11.1 | 10 | 6 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 5.1 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 4.6 | 10 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |