Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Casey Washington

CAR

WR122 · overall #285 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

33

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-37

repl 119

Range

18–48

sd 15

Week

0.9

vs DET

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
26
Carries
1
Receptions
15
Rec yards
196
Rush yards
4
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.6
Total TD
0.6
Games projected
9.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.8
Games of history
7
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.33
OL pass protection
+0.21
OL continuity
71%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.68
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.79
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DET,PHI
Window matchup
-0.41
Opponents after
TB,GB,DEN
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
+0.08
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.55

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

12.4

Per game

2.48

17-gm pace

42

Best / worst

4.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.8WR576333000
42.4WR843119000
60.0WR100200000
72.2WR812117000
83.0WR671125000