QB
Cam Ward
TENQB17 · overall #173 · tier 5 · age 24
Projected points
236
15.6/gm
Value over replacement
-11
repl 261
Range
198–273
sd 38
Week
15.4
vs NYJ
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 536
- Pass yards
- 3518
- Pass TD
- 21.7
- Carries
- 42
- Rush yards
- 171
- Rush TD
- 1.7
- Games projected
- 15.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 11.0
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.3
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.43
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYJ,PHI,NYG
- Window matchup
- -0.11
- Opponents after
- BAL,HOU,IND
- After matchup
- -0.56
- Flip edge
- +0.46
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.25
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
186.7
Per game
10.98
17-gm pace
187
Best / worst
23.9 / 2.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.5 | 12 | 28 | 112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 19 | 33 | 175 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.0 | 23 | 38 | 219 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 4 | 4.5 | 10 | 26 | 108 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 5 | 8.0 | 21 | 39 | 265 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 0 |
| 6 | 6.9 | 26 | 38 | 222 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 10.2 | 25 | 34 | 255 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 12.8 | 22 | 38 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.4 | 12 | 21 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.1 | 24 | 37 | 194 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 | 23.9 | 28 | 42 | 256 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 1 |
| 13 | 6.3 | 24 | 38 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | 11.1 | 14 | 28 | 117 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | 15.0 | 18 | 29 | 170 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 18.0 | 21 | 28 | 228 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 17.0 | 21 | 40 | 251 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | 9.2 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |