Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Calvin Ridley

TEN

WR75 · overall #169 · tier 10 · age 31

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Projected points

83

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 115

Range

3–164

sd 80

Week

5.4

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
65
Carries
5
Receptions
37
Rec yards
478
Rush yards
22
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
3.0
Total TD
3.2
Games projected
13.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.2
Games of history
41
Age multiplier
0.813
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.3
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.43
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYJ,PHI,NYG
Window matchup
-0.40
Opponents after
BAL,HOU,IND
After matchup
-0.34
Flip edge
-0.06
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.12

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

7

Points

47.3

Per game

6.76

17-gm pace

115

Best / worst

18.1 / 2.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.78427000
28.76357000
33.77127000
45.03230000
518.1105131000
62.81118000
112.31113000