WR
Calvin Austin III
NYGWR74 · overall #196 · tier 10 · age 27
Projected points
84
5.7/gm
Value over replacement
-22
repl 115
Range
9–158
sd 74
Week
5.7
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 58
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 35
- Rec yards
- 448
- Rush yards
- 17
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Rec TD
- 3.3
- Total TD
- 3.6
- Games projected
- 14.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.0
- Games of history
- 47
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.8
- Projected plays / game
- 62.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.42
- OL pass protection
- -0.21
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 68%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- -0.80
- Scheme creativity
- +0.10
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 3.53
- Top player's share
- 47%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DAL,LA,TEN
- Window matchup
- +0.65
- Opponents after
- ARI,WAS,NO
- After matchup
- +1.01
- Flip edge
- -0.36
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.53
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
55.2
Per game
3.94
17-gm pace
67
Best / worst
13.0 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.0 | 6 | 4 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 9.4 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 2.8 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 5.6 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.4 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.6 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 11.5 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 |