Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Bryce Young

CAR

QB24 · overall #201 · tier 6 · age 25

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Projected points

212

14.6/gm

Value over replacement

-14

repl 250

Range

173–252

sd 40

Week

20.5

vs DET

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
461
Pass yards
3039
Pass TD
18.8
Carries
46
Rush yards
213
Rush TD
2.4
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
46
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.33
OL pass protection
+0.21
OL continuity
71%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.68
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DET,PHI
Window matchup
-0.12
Opponents after
TB,GB,DEN
After matchup
-0.03
Flip edge
-0.09
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.26

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

218.0

Per game

13.63

17-gm pace

232

Best / worst

31.8 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
18.2QB271835154125400
221.3QB10355532831220
311.6QB25162412100281
410.3QB28183015010130
512.0QB25193019821310
618.5QB15172519931350
710.5QB201525138102100
93.0QB29112010201290
101.6QB29172512401260
1131.8QB23145448301-10
128.3QB201829169124150
1322.5QB41520206305230
1515.4QB191524163107490
1617.6QB132132191204200
178.9QB24142454019271
1816.5QB122435266212-10