Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Bryce Oliver

HOU

WR182 · overall #428 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

15

1.5/gm

Value over replacement

-58

repl 119

Range

2–28

sd 13

Week

0.5

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
12
Carries
1
Receptions
7
Rec yards
90
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.4
Total TD
0.4
Games projected
9.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.6
Games of history
10
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.44
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
-0.52
Flip edge
+0.96
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.86

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

2

Points

1.3

Per game

0.65

17-gm pace

11

Best / worst

1.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.3WR100118000
20.0WR122000000