WR
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAXWR36 · overall #87 · tier 7 · age 23
Projected points
132
9.2/gm
Value over replacement
29
repl 115
Range
80–185
sd 52
Week
8.5
vs CLE
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 92
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 55
- Rec yards
- 739
- Rush yards
- 17
- Rush TD
- 0.2
- Rec TD
- 4.6
- Total TD
- 4.8
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.8
- Games of history
- 31
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.83
- OL pass protection
- -0.31
- OL continuity
- 100%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- -0.04
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.41
- Top player's share
- 30%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CLE,DEN,NE
- Window matchup
- +0.04
- Opponents after
- CIN,PHI,HOU
- After matchup
- -0.43
- Flip edge
- +0.47
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.23
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
14
Points
138.8
Per game
9.91
17-gm pace
169
Best / worst
23.0 / 3.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.0 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.5 | 6 | 2 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 10.6 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | 12.0 | 6 | 4 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 23.0 | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.1 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 8.5 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.8 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 11.7 | 6 | 3 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 17.1 | 7 | 4 | 66 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 16 | 3.8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 7.9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 7.9 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |