Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Brian Robinson

ATL

RB65 · overall #217 · tier 9 · age 27

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Projected points

82

5.8/gm

Value over replacement

-20

repl 116

Range

36–128

sd 46

Week

6.3

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
21
Carries
100
Receptions
16
Rec yards
123
Rush yards
413
Rush TD
2.9
Rec TD
0.8
Total TD
3.7
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.7
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.05
OL pass protection
+0.17
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
29%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.35
Scheme creativity
-0.20
Play action / motion
17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
37
Effective contributors
1.87
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.40

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup
-0.24
Opponents after
SF,TB,CIN
After matchup
+0.13
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

54.5

Per game

3.21

17-gm pace

54

Best / worst

11.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.7RB3993302140
21.9RB57620011-10
32.2RB5422200000
42.1RB5652100000
51.2RB5851200000
60.8RB600003380
73.6RB3893600000
80.0RB700000000
911.3RB1455310000
1010.5RB1784111140
112.4RB5282401000
124.4RB3674002140
132.6RB5482600000
152.1RB5592100000
162.0RB5952001000
172.8RB4942201160
180.9RB742900000