Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Brian Robinson

ATL

RB43 · overall #155 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

90

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-6

repl 110

Range

44–136

sd 46

Week

5.0

@ PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
20
Carries
115
Receptions
15
Rec yards
120
Rush yards
472
Rush TD
2.9
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
3.5
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
62.0
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.08
OL pass protection
+0.66
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
+0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.15
Play action / motion
18% / 65%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
37
Effective contributors
1.87
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.40

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PIT,CAR,GB
Window matchup
-0.65
Opponents after
NO,BAL,CHI
After matchup
-0.17
Flip edge
-0.48
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.47

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

62.5

Per game

3.68

17-gm pace

62

Best / worst

11.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.793302140
22.9620011-10
32.222200000
42.152100000
51.251200000
63.80003380
73.693600000
80.00000000
911.355310000
1011.584111140
112.482401000
125.474002140
132.682600000
152.192100000
162.052001000
173.842201160
180.92900000