TE
Brenden Bates
JAXTE87 · overall #449 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
14
1.3/gm
Value over replacement
-62
repl 112
Range
2–25
sd 11
Week
0.4
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 11
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 8
- Rec yards
- 76
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.3
- Total TD
- 0.3
- Games projected
- 10.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.6
- Games of history
- 6
- Age multiplier
- 1.030
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.72
- OL pass protection
- -0.20
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- -0.03
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 46
- Effective contributors
- 2.55
- Top player's share
- 57%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.53
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CIN,PHI,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.02
- Opponents after
- IND,BAL
- After matchup
- -0.46
- Flip edge
- +0.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.26
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
5
Points
4.8
Per game
0.96
17-gm pace
16
Best / worst
2.3 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2.3 | TE30 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | TE59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | TE64 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.9 | TE33 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.6 | TE49 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |