RB
Breece Hall
NYJRB16 · overall #19 · tier 4 · age 25
Projected points
195
14.0/gm
Value over replacement
100
repl 110
Range
154–236
sd 41
Week
11.0
@ TEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 59
- Carries
- 230
- Receptions
- 45
- Rec yards
- 356
- Rush yards
- 974
- Rush TD
- 4.4
- Rec TD
- 1.5
- Total TD
- 6.0
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.1
- Games of history
- 56
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.25
- OL pass protection
- -0.19
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.44
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 9
- Effective contributors
- 1.80
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.27
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- TEN,GB,DET
- Window matchup
- -0.81
- Opponents after
- CHI,CLE,NE
- After matchup
- -0.50
- Flip edge
- -0.31
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.19
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
171.7
Per game
10.73
17-gm pace
182
Best / worst
30.9 / 3.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14.5 | 19 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| 4 | 11.1 | 14 | 81 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 5 | 13.5 | 14 | 113 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 0 |
| 6 | 5.9 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 5.2 | 11 | 38 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 8 | 30.9 | 18 | 133 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 | 18.5 | 21 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| 11 | 6.4 | 14 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 | 9.9 | 16 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 0 |
| 13 | 13.6 | 19 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | 4.3 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 3.7 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 | 6.3 | 16 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 18.9 | 14 | 111 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |