Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Breece Hall

NYJ

RB19 · overall #34 · tier 5 · age 25

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Projected points

139

13.9/gm

Value over replacement

67

repl 116

Range

94–185

sd 45

Week

10.1

@ CHI

The take

written by hand

16.7 carries and 4.2 targets a game is a real workload. 13.7 games and a questionable tag are why he's RB12 rather than eighth.

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
42
Carries
163
Receptions
32
Rec yards
258
Rush yards
692
Rush TD
3.2
Rec TD
1.1
Total TD
4.3
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.1
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
-0.25
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
-0.35
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.06

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

207.7

Per game

12.98

17-gm pace

221

Best / worst

32.9 / 4.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
116.5RB1019107042380
25.8RB43102903290
39.2RB31921064310
416.1RB191481065300
517.5RB1214113054420
65.9RB37225900000
77.2RB291138032140
832.9RB418133232140
1019.5RB72183011421
118.4RB33145802260
1213.9RB151644044750
1315.6RB17196812280
144.3RB46144301000
155.7RB441223022140
168.3RB37165403290
1720.9RB914111132180