Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Breece Hall

NYJ

RB16 · overall #19 · tier 4 · age 25

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Projected points

195

14.0/gm

Value over replacement

100

repl 110

Range

154–236

sd 41

Week

11.0

@ TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
59
Carries
230
Receptions
45
Rec yards
356
Rush yards
974
Rush TD
4.4
Rec TD
1.5
Total TD
6.0
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.1
Games of history
56
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.25
OL pass protection
-0.19
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.44
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
TEN,GB,DET
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
CHI,CLE,NE
After matchup
-0.50
Flip edge
-0.31
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.19

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

207.7

Per game

12.98

17-gm pace

221

Best / worst

32.9 / 4.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
116.519107042380
25.8102903290
39.2921064310
416.11481065300
517.514113054420
65.9225900000
77.21138032140
832.918133232140
1019.52183011421
118.4145802260
1213.91644044750
1315.6196812280
144.3144301000
155.71223022140
168.3165403290
1720.914111132180