Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Braxton Berrios

NYG

WR203 · overall #468 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

17

1.5/gm

Value over replacement

-64

repl 119

Range

0–54

sd 37

Week

0.5

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
14
Carries
1
Receptions
9
Rec yards
92
Rush yards
6
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
0.4
Total TD
0.5
Games projected
10.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.5
Games of history
43
Age multiplier
0.845
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.53
Top player's share
47%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.48
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.88
Flip edge
+1.36
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.85

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

4

Points

3.7

Per game

0.92

17-gm pace

16

Best / worst

3.8 / -0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
7-0.1WR14431-1000
83.8WR525538000
90.0WR96000000
100.0WR93000000