Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Braelon Allen

NYJ

RB57 · overall #161 · tier 9 · age 22

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Projected points

72

6.2/gm

Value over replacement

-7

repl 110

Range

50–94

sd 22

Week

4.1

@ TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
21
Carries
93
Receptions
15
Rec yards
111
Rush yards
365
Rush TD
2.2
Rec TD
0.4
Total TD
2.6
Games projected
11.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.7
Games of history
21
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.25
OL pass protection
-0.19
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.44
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.80
Top player's share
73%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.27

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
TEN,GB,DET
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
CHI,CLE,NE
After matchup
-0.50
Flip edge
-0.31
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.19

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

4

Points

14.3

Per game

3.57

17-gm pace

61

Best / worst

6.9 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.96910000
21.121101000
35.7630022170
40.642600000