Bo Melton

WR217 · overall #497 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

2.0/gm

Value over replacement

-70

repl 119

Range

0–61

sd 36

Week

0.9

@ TB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 17
Carries: 5
Receptions: 10
Rec yards: 131
Rush yards: 27
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.7
Total TD: 0.7
Games projected: 12.7
Observed pts/gm (history): 2.3
Games of history: 30
Age multiplier: 0.939
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 35.1
Projected plays / game: 60.5
Projected pass rate: 55%
OL run block: -0.62
OL pass protection: -0.44
OL continuity: 60%
2TE rate: 32%
3WR rate: 60%
1st-down pass rate: 41%
Run friendly: +0.91
Scheme creativity: +0.54
Play action / motion: 23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 5.34
Top player's share: 30%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TB,CHI,DAL
Window matchup: +0.25
Opponents after: DET,CAR,NE
After matchup: +0.05
Flip edge: +0.20
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.05

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

20.2

Per game

1.55

17-gm pace

Best / worst

10.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD	Att	Ru Yds
1	0.0	WR115	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	0.0	WR110	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	0.3	WR95	0	0	0	0	1	3
7	0.0	WR101	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	0.0	WR93	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	2.8	WR60	5	2	28	0	0	0
11	1.7	WR72	0	0	0	0	1	17
13	1.5	WR83	1	0	0	0	2	15
14	10.5	WR16	2	1	45	1	0	0
15	0.0	WR104	1	0	0	0	1	0
16	0.0	WR118	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	3.4	WR56	3	1	34	0	0	0
18	0.0	WR108	1	0	0	0	0	0