Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Bhayshul Tuten

JAX

RB23 · overall #39 · tier 6 · age 23

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Projected points

167

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

71

repl 110

Range

144–190

sd 23

Week

10.6

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
36
Carries
189
Receptions
27
Rec yards
198
Rush yards
728
Rush TD
6.2
Rec TD
2.5
Total TD
8.7
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.1
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
-0.07
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
+0.00
Flip edge
-0.07
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.29

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

78.6

Per game

5.24

17-gm pace

89

Best / worst

13.4 / -1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.131100000
213.4842022321
38.162111000
42.241401180
51.14601150
62.8214032140
72.252200000
98.6929111-30
101.04502150
1113.4157410000
121.771701000
137.981711120
14-1.52500000
158.317011161
188.352310000