Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Ben Sims

MIA

TE99 · overall #485 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

21

1.7/gm

Value over replacement

-67

repl 112

Range

0–49

sd 28

Week

0.4

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
16
Carries
0
Receptions
11
Rec yards
110
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.6
Total TD
0.6
Games projected
12.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.0
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.030
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.6
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
69%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
46%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
+1.42
Play action / motion
26% / 73%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.63
Top player's share
33%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIN,CIN
Window matchup
-0.65
Opponents after
NYJ,NE,DET
After matchup
+0.20
Flip edge
-0.86
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.73

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

3

Points

4.5

Per game

1.50

17-gm pace

26

Best / worst

2.3 / 0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
141.4TE451190
170.8TE541130
182.3TE4041180