Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Bam Knight

ARI

RB66 · overall #220 · tier 9 · age 25

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Projected points

55

5.2/gm

Value over replacement

-21

repl 116

Range

13–96

sd 42

Week

2.0

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
28
Carries
49
Receptions
21
Rec yards
151
Rush yards
185
Rush TD
1.4
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
10.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.9
Games of history
21
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.46
Top player's share
32%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.25
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.36
Flip edge
+0.62
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

70.9

Per game

5.91

17-gm pace

100

Best / worst

13.8 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.0RB740000000
40.0RB730000000
58.4RB25411111130
611.4RB141134121200
76.4RB26145704370
94.7RB34927022200
103.3RB42102804150
1110.5RB20524144210
129.2RB211012154200
1313.8RB141162033361
143.4RB46716063180
15-0.2RB931-200000