WR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DETWR3 · overall #6 · tier 1 · age 26
Projected points
234
15.4/gm
Value over replacement
124
repl 115
Range
173–295
sd 61
Week
16.4
vs NO
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 148
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 102
- Rec yards
- 1245
- Rush yards
- 18
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 10.1
- Total TD
- 10.1
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 19.1
- Games of history
- 66
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.5
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.86
- OL pass protection
- +0.77
- OL continuity
- 43%
- 2TE rate
- 33%
- 3WR rate
- 64%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.25
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 28% / 60%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 59
- Effective contributors
- 2.70
- Top player's share
- 51%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NO,BUF,NYJ
- Window matchup
- +0.98
- Opponents after
- CAR,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.27
- Flip edge
- +0.71
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.19
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
324.0
Per game
19.06
17-gm pace
324
Best / worst
41.4 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.5 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 39.2 | 11 | 9 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | 20.7 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 26.0 | 7 | 7 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 18.0 | 9 | 8 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 13.7 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 7 | 20.6 | 10 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 18.7 | 13 | 9 | 97 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 16.8 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.2 | 12 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 29.9 | 13 | 9 | 149 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 15.2 | 9 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 41.4 | 18 | 13 | 164 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 9.4 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 14.8 | 13 | 8 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 24.9 | 15 | 11 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 0 |