RB
Ameer Abdullah
JAXRB114 · overall #380 · tier – · age 33
Projected points
50
3.6/gm
Value over replacement
-52
repl 116
Range
18–82
sd 32
Week
2.6
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 19
- Carries
- 44
- Receptions
- 15
- Rec yards
- 107
- Rush yards
- 191
- Rush TD
- 1.2
- Rec TD
- 0.5
- Total TD
- 1.6
- Games projected
- 14.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.5
- Games of history
- 60
- Age multiplier
- 0.819
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.72
- OL pass protection
- -0.20
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- -0.03
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 12
- Effective contributors
- 1.85
- Top player's share
- 70%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.29
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CIN,PHI,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.23
- Opponents after
- IND,BAL
- After matchup
- -0.42
- Flip edge
- +0.19
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.42
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
21.9
Per game
1.68
17-gm pace
29
Best / worst
6.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6.6 | RB28 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.6 | RB55 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.7 | RB47 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.8 | RB58 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.5 | RB60 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.8 | RB55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | RB63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | RB74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.9 | RB60 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.7 | RB41 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.4 | RB72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.4 | RB70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.5 | RB56 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |