Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Ameer Abdullah

JAX

RB114 · overall #380 · tier – · age 33

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Projected points

50

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 116

Range

18–82

sd 32

Week

2.6

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
19
Carries
44
Receptions
15
Rec yards
107
Rush yards
191
Rush TD
1.2
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.5
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.819
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
-0.42
Flip edge
+0.19
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.42

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

13

Points

37.9

Per game

2.92

17-gm pace

50

Best / worst

9.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
56.6RB322610000
62.6RB531701190
73.7RB4621901180
81.8RB532501130
91.5RB571301120
101.8RB550001180
120.0RB630001000
130.0RB740000000
142.9RB561402250
159.7RB30415055320
161.4RB660001140
171.4RB660001140
184.5RB5111022240