Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Ameer Abdullah

JAX

RB114 · overall #380 · tier – · age 33

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Projected points

50

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-52

repl 116

Range

18–82

sd 32

Week

2.6

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
19
Carries
44
Receptions
15
Rec yards
107
Rush yards
191
Rush TD
1.2
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.5
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.819
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
-0.42
Flip edge
+0.19
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.42

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

13

Points

29.9

Per game

2.30

17-gm pace

39

Best / worst

7.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
56.6RB322610000
62.1RB541701190
73.2RB4621901180
81.3RB572501130
91.0RB571301120
101.3RB560001180
120.0RB630001000
130.0RB740000000
141.9RB571402250
157.2RB34415055320
160.9RB720001140
170.9RB670001140
183.5RB5311022240