WR
Alec Pierce
INDWR43 · overall #88 · tier 8 · age 26
Projected points
121
9.4/gm
Value over replacement
28
repl 115
Range
66–176
sd 55
Week
0.0
vs BAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 76
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 43
- Rec yards
- 736
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 4.4
- Total TD
- 4.4
- Games projected
- 12.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.3
- Games of history
- 64
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.78
- OL pass protection
- +0.85
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 35%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- +0.12
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 31% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.54
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- BAL,KC,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.71
- Opponents after
- WAS,PIT,TEN
- After matchup
- +0.76
- Flip edge
- -1.46
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.34
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
15
Points
136.3
Per game
9.09
17-gm pace
154
Best / worst
25.2 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.6 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 5 | 4 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 6.7 | 5 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.8 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 9.8 | 10 | 5 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 6.9 | 5 | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 11.5 | 13 | 6 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 14.4 | 7 | 4 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 2.6 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 13.8 | 5 | 4 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 8.0 | 8 | 5 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 20.6 | 4 | 4 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 25.2 | 7 | 4 | 132 | 2 | 0 | 0 |