QB
Aidan O'Connell
LVQB44 · overall #514 · tier 8 · age 28
Projected points
35
5.0/gm
Value over replacement
-73
repl 250
Range
0–80
sd 46
Week
0.8
vs KC
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 14.3
- Pass yards / game
- 99
- Pass TD / game
- 0.60
- Carries / game
- 0.7
- Rush yards / game
- 3
- Rush TD / game
- 0.03
- Games projected
- 6.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.6
- Games of history
- 21
- Age multiplier
- 1.012
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.08
- OL pass protection
- -0.32
- OL continuity
- 50%
- 2TE rate
- 42%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- +0.59
- Scheme creativity
- -0.05
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- KC,NE,BUF
- Window matchup
- -0.48
- Opponents after
- LA,NYJ,SF
- After matchup
- +0.04
- Flip edge
- -0.52
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.17
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
1
Points
4.8
Per game
4.78
17-gm pace
81
Best / worst
4.8 / 4.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 4.8 | QB30 | 10 | 22 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |