WR
Adonai Mitchell
NYJWR87 · overall #248 · tier 10 · age 23
Projected points
70
4.7/gm
Value over replacement
-37
repl 115
Range
31–108
sd 39
Week
4.1
@ TEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 63
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 33
- Rec yards
- 428
- Rush yards
- 4
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.8
- Total TD
- 1.8
- Games projected
- 14.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.7
- Games of history
- 33
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.25
- OL pass protection
- -0.19
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.44
- Scheme creativity
- -0.09
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 6.43
- Top player's share
- 22%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- TEN,GB,DET
- Window matchup
- -0.61
- Opponents after
- CHI,CLE,NE
- After matchup
- -0.03
- Flip edge
- -0.58
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.12
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
16
Points
87.9
Per game
5.49
17-gm pace
93
Best / worst
24.2 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 10.6 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.0 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 6.2 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 24.2 | 12 | 8 | 102 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.4 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 17.4 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 1 | -4 |
| 16 | 7.3 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 5.2 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |