Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Adonai Mitchell

NYJ

WR102 · overall #240 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

52

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-29

repl 119

Range

9–94

sd 43

Week

2.9

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
46
Carries
1
Receptions
25
Rec yards
319
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.3
Total TD
1.3
Games projected
10.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.7
Games of history
33
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
6.43
Top player's share
22%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
+0.28
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.04
Flip edge
+0.24
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.07

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

87.9

Per game

5.49

17-gm pace

93

Best / worst

24.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.1WR792221000
24.0WR864220000
30.0WR120200000
410.6WR304396000
50.0WR101100000
71.8WR95118000
80.0WR97100000
91.7WR88117000
112.0WR906110000
126.2WR467242000
1324.2WR5128102100
143.4WR726124000
1517.4WR14965811-4
167.3WR556343000
175.2WR629322000
180.0WR109300000