QB
Aaron Rodgers
PITQB28 · overall #253 · tier 7 · age 42
Projected points
178
13.5/gm
Value over replacement
-38
repl 261
Range
137–218
sd 41
Week
11.2
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 393
- Pass yards
- 2716
- Pass TD
- 18.3
- Carries
- 19
- Rush yards
- 72
- Rush TD
- 0.5
- Games projected
- 13.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.2
- Games of history
- 51
- Age multiplier
- 0.889
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.5
- Projected plays / game
- 61.4
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.48
- OL pass protection
- +0.07
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.86
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- ATL,NE,CIN
- Window matchup
- +0.10
- Opponents after
- CLE,IND,TB
- After matchup
- +0.11
- Flip edge
- -0.01
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.16
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
16
Points
227.1
Per game
14.19
17-gm pace
241
Best / worst
25.7 / 2.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25.7 | 22 | 30 | 244 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 18 | 33 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | 11.7 | 16 | 23 | 139 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | 12.8 | 18 | 22 | 200 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 6 | 17.5 | 21 | 30 | 235 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | 22.6 | 23 | 34 | 249 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 8 | 16.8 | 24 | 36 | 219 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 12.1 | 25 | 35 | 203 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 6.4 | 16 | 31 | 161 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.4 | 9 | 15 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.7 | 10 | 21 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 21.5 | 23 | 34 | 284 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | 17.0 | 23 | 27 | 224 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 15.5 | 27 | 41 | 266 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 7.3 | 21 | 39 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | 17.8 | 31 | 47 | 294 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |