TE
AJ Barner
SEATE24 · overall #167 · tier 6 · age 24
Projected points
95
6.3/gm
Value over replacement
-10
repl 111
Range
66–124
sd 29
Week
6.2
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 61
- Carries
- 4
- Receptions
- 45
- Rec yards
- 431
- Rush yards
- 6
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Rec TD
- 4.7
- Total TD
- 5.0
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.5
- Games of history
- 32
- Age multiplier
- 1.060
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.2
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.11
- OL pass protection
- +0.37
- OL continuity
- 100%
- 2TE rate
- 34%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 50%
- Run friendly
- +0.17
- Scheme creativity
- -0.21
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 16
- Effective contributors
- 1.94
- Top player's share
- 67%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.32
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NE,ARI,WAS
- Window matchup
- +1.43
- Opponents after
- LAC,SF,DEN
- After matchup
- -0.19
- Flip edge
- +1.63
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.54
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
147.3
Per game
8.66
17-gm pace
147
Best / worst
24.3 / 0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 4 | 12.2 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| 5 | 24.3 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 2 |
| 6 | 10.1 | 3 | 3 | 71 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.9 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 9 | 11.5 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 17.1 | 11 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 | 7.7 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 | 5.7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 | 5.7 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 | 15.0 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 1 |
| 17 | 13.3 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 1 |
| 18 | 3.4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |